Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -4.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -2.3 (+2.7) | 132.3 (-11.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -3.8 (+1.2) | 133.1 (-12.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -3.9 (+1.1) | 133.1 (-12.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -4.4 (+0.6) | 133.5 (-12.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | HPU 86 – 77 RAD |
| Jan 24, 2026 | HPU 93 – 83 RAD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | HPU 76 – 73 RAD |
| Feb 6, 2025 | HPU 78 – 75 RAD |
| Jan 3, 2025 | HPU 76 – 58 RAD |
Game Analysis
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