Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +12 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -17.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -12.9 (-0.9) | 127.7 (+6.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -13.0 (-1.0) | 132.8 (+1.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -12.6 (-0.6) | 132.7 (+1.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -12.4 (-0.4) | 126.0 (+8.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ME 61 – 58 UNH |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UNH 65 – 48 ME |
| Feb 28, 2025 | ME 73 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ME 71 – 46 UNH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UNH 60 – 57 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-9 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 60.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#236) | -17.9 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#295) | -3.67 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#294) | -4.40 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#271) | 0.338 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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