Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -4.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -5.1 (-7.1) | 133.2 (+4.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -5.0 (-7.0) | 133.0 (+5.0) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -4.7 (-6.7) | 133.2 (+4.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -6.0 (-8.0) | 131.2 (+6.8) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | VCU 75 – 69 DAV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VCU 80 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2024 | VCU 63 – 58 DAV |
| Mar 9, 2023 | VCU 71 – 53 DAV |
| Feb 1, 2023 | VCU 61 – 59 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 14-4 |
| Home | 13-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 62.4 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#50) | 8.1 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.88 (#17) | 1.52 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#35) | 1.71 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#16) | 0.586 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 42.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 26.9% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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