Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | OKST -1.7 (-4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.2 (+40.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -3.9 (-6.9) | 129.2 (+35.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -1.5 (-4.5) | 128.3 (+36.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -1.2 (-4.2) | 129.4 (+35.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -1.1 (-4.1) | 130.8 (+34.2) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | ISU 84 – 71 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | ISU 83 – 71 OKST |
| Feb 26, 2025 | OKST 74 – 68 ISU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | ISU 66 – 42 OKST |
| Feb 11, 2023 | OKST 64 – 56 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#48) | 11.5 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#61) | 2.63 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#51) | 3.49 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#42) | 0.572 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.8% | 25.6% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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