Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -450 TA&M +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +6 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -14.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -12.1 (-6.1) | 131.1 (+2.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -11.0 (-5.0) | 128.8 (+5.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -11.1 (-5.1) | 129.5 (+4.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -9.9 (-3.9) | 133.6 (+0.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | TA&M 94 – 91 LSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 72 LSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | TA&M 66 – 52 LSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | TA&M 68 – 57 LSU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | TA&M 73 – 69 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 27-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 16-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 19.4 (#5) | 8.3 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.91 (#16) | 2.04 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#18) | 2.55 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#8) | 0.558 (#80) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.1% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 24.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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