Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | RAD +130 LONG -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +8 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | LONG -2.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -3.3 (-4.7) | 135.0 (+23.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -2.3 (-5.7) | 138.8 (+19.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -1.7 (-6.3) | 140.0 (+18.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -1.8 (-6.2) | 137.7 (+20.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LONG 90 – 74 RAD |
| Jan 17, 2026 | RAD 85 – 83 LONG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | RAD 71 – 69 LONG |
| Jan 23, 2025 | LONG 77 – 74 RAD |
| Feb 24, 2024 | RAD 88 – 82 LONG |
Game Analysis
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