Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +16 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -6.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -5.3 (+10.7) | 138.3 (-20.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -7.4 (+8.6) | 138.8 (-20.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -6.5 (+9.5) | 139.8 (-21.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -6.2 (+9.8) | 141.7 (-23.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | TA&M 80 – 77 MISS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | TA&M 63 – 62 MISS |
| Mar 14, 2024 | TA&M 80 – 71 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TA&M 86 – 60 MISS |
| Jan 28, 2024 | MISS 71 – 68 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-4 | 10-8 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#76) | 4.3 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#40) | 0.69 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#41) | 1.07 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#69) | 0.510 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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