Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +31 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -12.2 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -8.9 (+22.1) | 152.0 (+15.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -9.7 (+21.3) | 151.9 (+15.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -9.7 (+21.3) | 152.1 (+14.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -9.1 (+21.9) | 151.1 (+15.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | EMU 66 – 54 CMU |
| Jan 28, 2026 | CMU 100 – 65 EMU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EMU 84 – 73 CMU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CMU 82 – 63 EMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CMU 65 – 62 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 2-9 |
| Away | 2-14 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#261) | -13.8 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#232) | -2.07 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#230) | -3.04 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#204) | 0.427 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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