Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | KENT -1700 NIU +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIU +2 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -12.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -12.6 (-14.6) | 129.6 (-1.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -8.7 (-10.7) | 130.8 (-2.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -8.7 (-10.7) | 131.2 (-3.2) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -9.5 (-11.5) | 128.5 (-0.5) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KENT 102 – 76 NIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | KENT 77 – 73 NIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | KENT 68 – 50 NIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | KENT 85 – 47 NIU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KENT 83 – 76 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 3-8 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#204) | -10.3 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#188) | -1.01 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#191) | -1.17 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#143) | 0.446 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 22.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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