Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +7 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -10.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -10.2 (-3.2) | 152.1 (+10.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -10.8 (-3.8) | 149.2 (+13.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -11.1 (-4.1) | 147.8 (+15.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -10.6 (-3.6) | 150.6 (+12.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | BGSU 68 – 58 OHIO |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 81 BGSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | OHIO 66 – 59 BGSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 78 OHIO |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OHIO 92 – 58 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 15-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 77.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 82.2 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#105) | -2.1 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#27) | -0.29 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#30) | -0.53 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#45) | 0.472 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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