Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -4.6 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -2.3 (-6.3) | 141.0 (+17.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -2.3 (-6.3) | 144.2 (+13.8) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -2.3 (-6.3) | 143.6 (+14.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -2.5 (-6.5) | 142.2 (+15.8) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2025 | DREX 78 – 74 DEL |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DREX 67 – 54 DEL |
| Feb 26, 2024 | DREX 70 – 60 DEL |
| Jan 20, 2024 | DREX 86 – 67 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2023 | DREX 58 – 54 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#137) | 0.4 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#149) | 0.95 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#152) | 1.19 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#167) | 0.544 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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