Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -1.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -1.5 (+3.5) | 133.3 (-2.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -1.8 (+3.2) | 136.8 (-5.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -1.7 (+3.3) | 137.2 (-6.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -1.5 (+3.5) | 136.0 (-5.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 14-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#93) | 8.6 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#121) | 1.63 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#131) | 2.01 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#140) | 0.573 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 31.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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