Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -6.8 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -5.3 (+1.3) | 142.5 (+13.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -6.2 (+2.2) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -6.2 (+2.2) | 145.4 (+10.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -6.0 (+2.0) | 145.6 (+10.4) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | SBU 99 – 80 LAS |
| Jan 17, 2026 | LAS 78 – 74 SBU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LAS 83 – 82 SBU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | SBU 75 – 73 LAS |
| Feb 21, 2024 | LAS 72 – 59 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#279) | 4.0 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#292) | 1.45 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#301) | 1.67 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#315) | 0.560 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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