Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | BELL -700 CARK +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +22 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -12.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (+1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -10.7 (+11.3) | 143.0 (+5.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -10.3 (+11.7) | 146.1 (+1.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -11.0 (+11.0) | 145.3 (+2.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -11.1 (+10.9) | 145.0 (+3.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CARK 86 – 73 BELL |
| Feb 12, 2026 | CARK 84 – 76 BELL |
| Jan 9, 2026 | BELL 84 – 78 CARK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CARK 71 – 65 BELL |
| Feb 22, 2024 | BELL 68 – 65 CARK |
Game Analysis
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