Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
| Money | UNA +190 EKU -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNA +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -0.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNA -0.2 (+0.8) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNA -0.9 (+0.1) | 140.1 (+10.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNA -1.2 (-0.2) | 140.2 (+10.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNA -1.7 (-0.7) | 144.2 (+6.8) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | UNA 84 – 78 EKU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | EKU 88 – 80 UNA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNA 88 – 67 EKU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | EKU 75 – 72 UNA |
| Jan 14, 2024 | EKU 81 – 72 UNA |
Game Analysis
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