Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +16 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -11.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -9.8 (+6.2) | 141.7 (-3.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -9.8 (+6.2) | 144.9 (-6.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -10.2 (+5.8) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -9.8 (+6.2) | 142.1 (-4.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-11 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#91) | -1.6 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#120) | -0.42 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#135) | -0.83 (#234) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#108) | 0.485 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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