Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MARQ -300 DEP +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +11 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -6.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -6.3 (+4.7) | 154.2 (+8.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -6.8 (+4.2) | 150.0 (+13.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -6.8 (+4.2) | 150.3 (+12.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -5.6 (+5.4) | 152.1 (+10.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DEP 62 – 51 MARQ |
| Jan 17, 2026 | DEP 80 – 75 MARQ |
| Feb 12, 2025 | MARQ 68 – 58 DEP |
| Jan 15, 2025 | MARQ 85 – 83 DEP |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MARQ 105 – 71 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#52) | 6.0 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#52) | 1.22 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#49) | 1.70 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#37) | 0.538 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.