Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +14 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -6.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -8.1 (+5.9) | 123.8 (-5.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -4.6 (+9.4) | 128.5 (-10.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -5.4 (+8.6) | 129.2 (-11.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -6.3 (+7.7) | 124.7 (-6.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#18) | 11.8 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#35) | 2.37 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#36) | 3.50 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#54) | 0.593 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 51.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.5% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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