Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +12 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UK -6.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -4.8 (-7.2) | 136.9 (+7.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -5.1 (-6.9) | 138.6 (+5.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -5.0 (-7.0) | 139.4 (+4.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -5.6 (-6.4) | 140.1 (+3.9) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-8 | 18-0 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 66.6 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#75) | 17.4 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#94) | 2.09 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#108) | 3.17 (#35) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#103) | 0.569 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 43.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 41.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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