Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +1 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | KU -10.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -11.7 (-10.7) | 139.3 (-16.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -8.8 (-7.8) | 140.0 (-17.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -9.2 (-8.2) | 139.8 (-16.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -8.8 (-7.8) | 140.6 (-17.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ISU 74 – 56 KU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | KU 84 – 63 ISU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | KU 69 – 52 ISU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | ISU 74 – 57 KU |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ISU 79 – 75 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 19-1 | 14-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#7) | 11.7 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#13) | 3.55 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.95 (#5) | 4.87 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.674 (#7) | 0.586 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.4% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 26.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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