Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.0 Over |
| Money | GTWN +140 MARQ -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +28 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -1.5 (-26.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -0.6 (-27.4) | 157.9 (-1.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -2.8 (-25.2) | 154.8 (+1.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -3.5 (-24.5) | 156.2 (-0.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -4.7 (-23.3) | 157.5 (-1.5) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MARQ 76 – 60 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2025 | GTWN 78 – 69 MARQ |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 61 GTWN |
| Jan 8, 2025 | MARQ 74 – 66 GTWN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MARQ 91 – 57 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 0-19 | 11-8 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-3 |
| Away | 0-11 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L21 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#137) | 7.2 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#209) | 1.94 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#209) | 2.58 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#221) | 0.599 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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