McNeese
Cowboys
78
–
83
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Southland Conference Men's Basketball Tip-Off
SE Louisiana
Lions
Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | MCN +120 SELA -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -1.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -1.3 (-6.3) | 150.6 (+10.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -1.6 (-6.6) | 148.3 (+12.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -1.8 (-6.8) | 148.6 (+12.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -1.5 (-6.5) | 149.6 (+11.4) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 10-4 |
| Home | 6-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#274) | -7.8 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#279) | -1.66 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#269) | -2.44 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#230) | 0.442 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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