I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Patriot League · Christl Arena · January 7, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread ARMY -6.0 Home covered
O/U 145.0 Under
Money ARMY -250 / LEH +205
Model Predictions
Spread Total ARMY win
Actual ARMY +22 132 Won
Massey ARMY -7.9 (+14.1) — —
Massey Totals — 146.7 (-14.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ARMY -8.0 (+14.0) 145.9 (-13.9) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ARMY -5.4 (+16.6) 148.2 (-16.2) 72% ✓
Baseline ML ARMY -5.4 (+16.6) 148.8 (-16.8) 70% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ARMY -5.2 (+16.8) 147.4 (-15.4) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 28, 2026 ARMY 67 – 64 LEH
Dec 31, 2025 ARMY 85 – 78 LEH
Mar 1, 2025 LEH 89 – 67 ARMY
Jan 11, 2025 ARMY 74 – 69 LEH
Feb 21, 2024 LEH 85 – 54 ARMY

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ARMY LEH
Overall 15-16 13-19
Conference 9-9 10-8
Home 10-4 9-7
Away 4-12 4-12
Neutral 1-0 0-0
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.1 68.4
Avg Pts Against 72.1 71.6
Massey -6.4 (#278) -10.2 (#330)
Bradley-Terry -0.65 (#234) -2.47 (#335)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.29 (#262) -3.70 (#338)
RPI 0.480 (#211) 0.366 (#343)
Shooting & Four Factors ARMY LEH
FG% 42.6% 42.9%
3PT% 31.8% 30.9%
REB / G 37.6 33.2
OREB / G 11.6 7.5
AST / TO 0.88 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.4% 48.4%
TOV% 19.8% 21.5%
ORB% 30.3% 22.4%
FT Rate 19.3% 18.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.1% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 16.0%
DRB% 71.1% 72.0%
Opp FT Rate 15.4% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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