Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | BU -320 L-MD +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | BU -8.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -5.8 (-13.8) | 132.9 (-8.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -5.7 (-13.7) | 138.2 (-14.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BU -5.6 (-13.6) | 136.9 (-12.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -6.8 (-14.8) | 136.0 (-12.0) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BU 78 – 69 L-MD |
| Jan 17, 2026 | L-MD 74 – 57 BU |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BU 68 – 66 L-MD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | L-MD 69 – 67 BU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BU 82 – 79 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#173) | -4.8 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#171) | -0.67 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#170) | -1.29 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#183) | 0.449 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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