Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
LSU New Orleans Privateers
81 – 65
FINAL Neutral Conference Southland Conference Men's Basketball Tip-Off
Houston Christian Huskies
Southland Conference · Leonard E. Merrell Center (Neutral) · January 7, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread NOLA -8.5 Home covered
O/U 150.0 Under
Money NOLA -350 / HCU +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total NOLA win
Actual NOLA +16 146 Won
Massey NOLA -8.0 (+8.0) — —
Massey Totals — 144.5 (+1.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 87% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NOLA -6.6 (+9.4) 141.5 (+4.5) 80% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NOLA -6.6 (+9.4) 142.3 (+3.7) 77% ✓
Baseline ML NOLA -7.0 (+9.0) 143.4 (+2.6) 74% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NOLA -7.9 (+8.1) 143.3 (+2.7) 79% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 8, 2026 NOLA 73 – 60 HCU
Feb 14, 2026 HCU 61 – 60 NOLA
Dec 6, 2025 HCU 85 – 76 NOLA
Feb 8, 2025 HCU 81 – 68 NOLA
Jan 25, 2025 HCU 86 – 76 NOLA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NOLA HCU
Overall 18-14 11-18
Conference 10-4 6-8
Home 12-2 7-6
Away 3-10 3-8
Neutral 3-2 1-4
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 76.0 71.6
Avg Pts Against 76.7 79.4
Massey -7.1 (#286) -15.1 (#351)
Bradley-Terry -1.56 (#297) -3.47 (#351)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.56 (#277) -4.87 (#352)
RPI 0.396 (#323) 0.385 (#332)
Shooting & Four Factors NOLA HCU
FG% 44.3% 40.1%
3PT% 33.6% 26.5%
REB / G 34.2 31.9
OREB / G 9.0 11.3
AST / TO 0.88 0.60
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.9% 44.7%
TOV% 21.0% 24.8%
ORB% 25.2% 31.7%
FT Rate 24.8% 17.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.0% 59.9%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 18.2%
DRB% 67.2% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 22.4%

Game Analysis

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