I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
Don Haskins Center · January 7, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread LT -4.0 Away covered
O/U 141.0 Under
Money UTEP +160 / LT -190
Model Predictions
Spread Total UTEP win
Actual LT +12 116 Lost
Massey LT -2.3 (-9.7) — —
Massey Totals — 139.3 (-23.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 25% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 23% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LT -2.2 (-9.8) 141.0 (-25.0) 37% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML LT -1.3 (-10.7) 142.5 (-26.5) 43% ✓
Baseline ML LT -1.6 (-10.4) 142.7 (-26.7) 43% ✓
Baseline Plus ML LT -1.4 (-10.6) 142.9 (-26.9) 45% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 LT 69 – 59 UTEP
Dec 30, 2025 LT 75 – 63 UTEP
Mar 8, 2025 LT 76 – 58 UTEP
Jan 3, 2025 UTEP 70 – 60 LT
Feb 23, 2024 LT 65 – 59 UTEP

Game Analysis

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