Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CIN -135 SMU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +17 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -4.2 (+12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -3.9 (+13.1) | 141.4 (-4.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -3.4 (+13.6) | 139.0 (-2.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -2.8 (+14.2) | 138.5 (-1.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -2.9 (+14.1) | 140.2 (-3.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2023 | CIN 97 – 74 SMU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | CIN 54 – 52 SMU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | SMU 76 – 71 CIN |
| Mar 12, 2021 | CIN 74 – 71 SMU |
| Jan 8, 2021 | CIN 76 – 69 SMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-4 |
| Home | 12-6 | 17-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#76) | 6.8 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#125) | 1.20 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#103) | 1.52 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#168) | 0.552 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | SMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.6% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.