Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | EWU +120 MONT -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +12 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -6.8 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -5.0 (-17.0) | 140.7 (+27.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -3.9 (-15.9) | 141.3 (+26.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -3.6 (-15.6) | 141.1 (+26.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -3.0 (-15.0) | 140.1 (+27.9) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#198) | -4.0 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#159) | 0.19 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#182) | 0.33 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#161) | 0.496 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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