Incarnate Word
Cardinals
56
–
87
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Southland Conference Men's Basketball Tip-Off
Nicholls
Colonels
Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | UIW +400 NICH -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +31 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -13.8 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -13.1 (-17.9) | 146.1 (-3.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -12.4 (-18.6) | 149.3 (-6.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -13.0 (-18.0) | 147.7 (-4.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -12.9 (-18.1) | 146.6 (-3.6) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NICH 91 – 83 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2025 | NICH 74 – 67 UIW |
| Mar 11, 2025 | NICH 74 – 70 UIW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NICH 88 – 82 UIW |
| Feb 27, 2024 | NICH 92 – 82 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 11-3 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-1 |
| Away | 1-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -13.6 (#341) | 0.3 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#341) | -0.15 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#337) | -0.24 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#281) | 0.542 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 27.6 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 11.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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