Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OMA -145 UND +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +16 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -3.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (+29.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -0.6 (+15.4) | 153.0 (+27.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -1.4 (+14.6) | 152.4 (+27.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -1.3 (+14.7) | 153.5 (+26.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -1.2 (+14.8) | 152.6 (+27.4) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UND 76 – 73 OMA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | OMA 90 – 79 UND |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OMA 80 – 77 UND |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OMA 95 – 85 UND |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OMA 73 – 72 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 2-16 |
| Home | 5-9 | 4-11 |
| Away | 0-15 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -15.8 (#353) | -14.8 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.48 (#339) | -2.02 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#330) | -3.26 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#321) | 0.382 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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