Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.0 Under |
| Money | STMN +175 ORU -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +15 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -1.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -0.1 (-15.1) | 155.4 (-8.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -0.1 (-15.1) | 158.0 (-11.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -0.1 (-14.9) | 158.0 (-11.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -0.1 (-15.1) | 156.8 (-9.8) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | STMN 92 – 75 ORU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | STMN 82 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ORU 71 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | STMN 85 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 77.8 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#166) | 2.7 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#251) | -0.10 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#236) | 0.23 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#256) | 0.500 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 13.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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