Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
| Money | UNT -145 UAB +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -2.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -2.8 (-8.8) | 127.2 (+4.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -2.2 (-8.2) | 128.0 (+4.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -2.4 (-8.4) | 128.7 (+3.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -2.0 (-8.0) | 124.7 (+7.3) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 UAB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UAB 72 – 68 UNT |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UAB 66 – 56 UNT |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAB 64 – 61 UNT |
| Dec 31, 2024 | UNT 78 – 75 UAB |
Game Analysis
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