Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | UVM -550 UNH +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +14 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -8.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -7.1 (+6.9) | 133.4 (+16.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -5.6 (+8.4) | 130.9 (+19.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -5.3 (+8.7) | 133.3 (+16.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -5.6 (+8.4) | 130.6 (+19.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UVM 80 – 57 UNH |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UVM 80 – 61 UNH |
| Mar 8, 2025 | UVM 64 – 57 UNH |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UVM 79 – 59 UNH |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVM 60 – 40 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-4 |
| Away | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#103) | 0.7 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#109) | -0.91 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#99) | -0.98 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#108) | 0.473 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 17.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.