Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WIS -150 IOWA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +9 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -0.3 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.9 (+6.1) | 148.1 (+16.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -2.7 (+6.3) | 151.9 (+13.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -2.0 (+7.0) | 152.4 (+12.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.6 (+7.4) | 151.4 (+13.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WIS 84 – 71 IOWA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WIS 74 – 63 IOWA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIS 116 – 85 IOWA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 86 WIS |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WIS 83 – 72 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 9-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 83.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#39) | 15.0 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#9) | 2.03 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.42 (#14) | 2.83 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.666 (#7) | 0.563 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 2.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 12.2% | 12.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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