Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | IU -160 OSU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +16 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | IU -2.3 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -3.0 (+13.0) | 138.1 (-20.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -1.8 (+14.2) | 141.4 (-23.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -1.9 (+14.1) | 141.2 (-23.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -2.8 (+13.2) | 140.5 (-22.5) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OSU 91 – 78 IU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | IU 66 – 60 OSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | IU 77 – 76 OSU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | IU 76 – 73 OSU |
| Jan 7, 2024 | IU 71 – 65 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#30) | 12.9 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#63) | 3.20 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#60) | 4.47 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#58) | 0.687 (#4) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.1% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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