Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +4 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -2.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -2.2 (+6.2) | 139.5 (-13.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -2.5 (+6.5) | 144.4 (-18.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -3.0 (+7.0) | 143.9 (-17.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -2.8 (+6.8) | 143.9 (-17.9) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | DREX 68 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 19, 2026 | TOW 59 – 58 DREX |
| Mar 9, 2025 | TOW 82 – 76 DREX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TOW 55 – 54 DREX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TOW 93 – 82 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 62.4 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#145) | 7.4 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#170) | 1.18 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#172) | 1.70 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#202) | 0.552 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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