Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | COR -7.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -4.5 (+3.5) | 147.8 (+2.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -5.3 (+2.7) | 148.8 (+1.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -5.8 (+2.2) | 151.7 (-1.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -6.4 (+1.6) | 149.1 (+0.9) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | COR 111 – 90 DART |
| Jan 10, 2026 | DART 102 – 91 COR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | COR 87 – 71 DART |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DART 88 – 49 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 76 – 64 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Home | 10-2 | 5-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#156) | -3.0 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#140) | -1.06 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#160) | -1.14 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#210) | 0.466 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 12.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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