Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +8 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -11.8 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -11.1 (+3.1) | 152.3 (+13.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -11.6 (+3.6) | 152.9 (+13.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -11.6 (+3.6) | 152.4 (+13.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -9.9 (+1.9) | 151.1 (+14.9) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 5, 2026 | NEB 72 – 69 OSU |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OSU 116 – 114 NEB |
| Feb 9, 2025 | NEB 79 – 71 OSU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | OSU 78 – 69 NEB |
| Jan 24, 2024 | NEB 83 – 69 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-12 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#229) | 13.1 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#254) | 3.02 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#229) | 4.21 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#273) | 0.699 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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