Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -11.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -7.3 (+0.7) | 133.3 (+2.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -7.8 (+0.2) | 134.0 (+2.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -7.8 (+0.2) | 135.1 (+0.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -7.8 (+0.2) | 133.9 (+2.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CSUN 80 – 70 UCSD |
| Feb 1, 2026 | CSUN 81 – 64 UCSD |
| Jan 16, 2026 | CSUN 84 – 79 UCSD |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 71 CSUN |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCSD 79 – 54 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 3-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 4-11 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#208) | -8.9 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#213) | -0.60 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#188) | -0.77 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#192) | 0.473 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 18.3% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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