Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -5.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEV -8.3 (+0.7) | 158.5 (-9.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -5.2 (+3.8) | 157.1 (-8.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -5.1 (+3.9) | 156.8 (-7.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEV -4.2 (+4.8) | 159.2 (-10.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | NEV 67 – 60 UNM |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UNM 80 – 73 NEV |
| Mar 5, 2025 | UNM 71 – 67 NEV |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNM 82 – 81 NEV |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNM 83 – 82 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 76.7 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#141) | -0.3 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#135) | 0.05 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#132) | -0.04 (#179) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#79) | 0.508 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | UNM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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