Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -0.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -0.4 (+1.6) | 140.1 (+5.9) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -2.3 (-0.3) | 142.7 (+3.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -1.9 (+0.1) | 142.8 (+3.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -1.7 (+0.3) | 142.6 (+3.4) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WEB 92 – 72 MONT |
| Jan 23, 2026 | MONT 81 – 65 WEB |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MONT 65 – 58 WEB |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MONT 63 – 59 WEB |
| Jan 23, 2024 | MONT 77 – 62 WEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#246) | -0.4 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#193) | 0.74 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#176) | 0.82 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#224) | 0.523 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 18.3% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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