Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -18.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +45 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -18.8 (+26.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -15.4 (+29.6) | 155.2 (+13.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -14.2 (+30.8) | 151.8 (+17.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -15.7 (+29.3) | 151.8 (+17.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -15.2 (+29.8) | 151.0 (+18.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OMA 73 – 62 ORU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OMA 80 – 57 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | OMA 84 – 76 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OMA 71 – 70 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 5-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-6 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.8 | 84.4 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#158) | -13.9 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#196) | -2.39 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#163) | -2.93 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#159) | 0.411 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 12.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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