Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -6.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -4.0 (+8.0) | 135.6 (-13.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -5.0 (+9.0) | 135.5 (-13.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -5.9 (+9.9) | 135.8 (-13.8) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -6.0 (+10.0) | 135.9 (-13.9) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BTLR 81 – 71 DEP |
| Jan 21, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 80 DEP |
| Feb 23, 2025 | BTLR 84 – 72 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BTLR 86 – 69 DEP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BTLR 82 – 63 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#193) | 9.4 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#83) | 2.19 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#73) | 2.98 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#139) | 0.565 (#72) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 13.8% |
Game Analysis
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