Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -360 SIE +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +2 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -16.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (-14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -8.0 (-10.0) | 133.3 (-15.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -9.6 (-11.6) | 138.1 (-20.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -9.4 (-11.4) | 138.0 (-20.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -9.8 (-11.8) | 137.6 (-19.6) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SIE 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SPU 70 – 65 SIE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIE 77 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SPU 75 – 53 SIE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SPU 63 – 52 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#200) | -11.4 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#189) | -1.62 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#188) | -2.08 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#133) | 0.430 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.