Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | MAN -230 QUIN +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +17 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | MAN -14.0 (-31.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -7.6 (-24.6) | 143.0 (+20.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -8.6 (-25.6) | 143.5 (+19.5) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -8.6 (-25.6) | 142.1 (+20.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -6.8 (-23.8) | 142.5 (+20.5) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | QUIN 98 – 92 MAN |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MAN 80 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 23, 2025 | QUIN 74 – 71 MAN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | QUIN 77 – 71 MAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | QUIN 76 – 59 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#217) | -10.3 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#88) | -2.35 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#124) | -3.38 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#112) | 0.341 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 23.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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