Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | NIA -160 FAIR +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -9.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -4.1 (-14.1) | 135.4 (+16.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -5.6 (-15.6) | 135.0 (+17.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -5.7 (-15.7) | 136.7 (+15.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -4.6 (-14.6) | 135.4 (+16.6) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | FAIR 62 – 61 NIA |
| Jan 4, 2026 | FAIR 83 – 75 NIA |
| Jan 17, 2025 | FAIR 70 – 66 NIA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NIA 65 – 63 FAIR |
| Jan 13, 2024 | NIA 96 – 72 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#86) | 0.7 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#120) | 0.04 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#123) | -0.43 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#118) | 0.513 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.