Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | NAU -0.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -2.2 (-0.8) | 130.2 (+12.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -2.9 (-0.1) | 130.6 (+12.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -4.0 (+1.0) | 132.4 (+10.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -3.0 (-0.0) | 131.6 (+11.4) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | IDST 73 – 65 NAU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | NAU 79 – 73 IDST |
| Jan 11, 2026 | IDST 81 – 79 NAU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NAU 82 – 79 IDST |
| Jan 3, 2025 | IDST 72 – 67 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 5-15 |
| Home | 5-8 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -12.7 (#342) | -6.3 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.18 (#356) | -0.67 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.88 (#359) | -0.65 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.312 (#352) | 0.481 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.