Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -16.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -10.0 (-7.0) | 139.8 (+13.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -9.3 (-6.3) | 140.7 (+12.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -9.0 (-6.0) | 140.9 (+12.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -8.8 (-5.8) | 138.7 (+14.3) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | MONT 95 – 89 UNCO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNCO 85 – 57 MONT |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MONT 88 – 79 UNCO |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MONT 91 – 83 UNCO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | MONT 86 – 78 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#111) | -7.6 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#103) | 0.10 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#93) | 0.64 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#66) | 0.509 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 26.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 4.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 14.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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