Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -550 DEN +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +7 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -10.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -8.1 (-1.1) | 163.3 (+11.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -6.5 (+0.5) | 159.6 (+15.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -7.1 (-0.1) | 160.0 (+15.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -7.2 (-0.2) | 160.9 (+14.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | DEN 90 – 70 SDAK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SDAK 82 – 72 DEN |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SDAK 86 – 79 DEN |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SDAK 92 – 86 DEN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | DEN 111 – 110 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.6 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#212) | -8.5 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#240) | -1.64 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#265) | -2.90 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#249) | 0.380 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 61.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.