Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
| Money | UNT +130 UAB -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +7 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -0.4 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -0.6 (+6.4) | 130.6 (-1.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -0.5 (+6.5) | 127.7 (+1.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -0.2 (+7.2) | 132.4 (-3.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -0.7 (+7.7) | 133.3 (-4.3) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 UAB |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UAB 72 – 68 UNT |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UAB 66 – 56 UNT |
| Feb 4, 2025 | UAB 64 – 61 UNT |
| Dec 31, 2024 | UNT 78 – 75 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-7 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 17-2 |
| Away | 10-3 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.3 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#48) | 10.6 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#18) | 2.14 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#27) | 2.54 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#18) | 0.580 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.